Heat pump vs gas boiler — the numbers, and every grant that changes them

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Heat pump running costs by house type

Thirty worked examples. Each one has its own heat demand per square metre, its own assumed design flow temperature and therefore its own SCOP — because a 1930s solid-wall semi and a 2015 detached are not the same problem with a different label.

semi-detached house

EraAreaHeatFlowSCOPGas boiler nowHeat pump
pre-191995 m²18,900 kWh55 °C2.8£2,091£1,971
1976-199095 m²12,725 kWh45 °C3.4£1,452£1,186
1919-194495 m²17,475 kWh55 °C2.8£1,957£1,838
1945-196695 m²16,050 kWh50 °C3.0£1,785£1,606
1967-197595 m²14,625 kWh50 °C3.0£1,655£1,482
1991-200295 m²10,825 kWh45 °C3.4£1,216£1,040
2003-201195 m²8,925 kWh40 °C3.6£1,042£856
2012 onwards95 m²6,550 kWh35 °C3.9£837£647

terraced house

EraAreaHeatFlowSCOPGas boiler nowHeat pump
pre-191985 m²14,805 kWh55 °C2.8£1,706£1,589
1976-199085 m²10,109 kWh45 °C3.4£1,218£985
1919-194485 m²13,721 kWh55 °C2.8£1,604£1,488
1945-196685 m²12,638 kWh50 °C3.0£1,473£1,309
1967-197585 m²11,554 kWh50 °C3.0£1,373£1,214
1991-200285 m²8,664 kWh45 °C3.4£1,036£874
2003-201185 m²7,219 kWh40 °C3.6£903£732
2012 onwards85 m²5,412 kWh35 °C3.9£746£571

detached house

EraAreaHeatFlowSCOPGas boiler nowHeat pump
pre-1919140 m²32,440 kWh55 °C2.8£3,363£3,234
1976-1990140 m²21,520 kWh45 °C3.4£2,238£1,861
1919-1944140 m²29,920 kWh55 °C2.8£3,126£2,999
1945-1966140 m²27,400 kWh50 °C3.0£2,825£2,593
1967-1975140 m²24,880 kWh50 °C3.0£2,594£2,374
1991-2002140 m²18,160 kWh45 °C3.4£1,827£1,603
2003-2011140 m²14,800 kWh40 °C3.6£1,520£1,282
2012 onwards140 m²10,600 kWh35 °C3.9£1,159£918

bungalow

EraAreaHeatFlowSCOPGas boiler nowHeat pump
pre-191990 m²20,430 kWh55 °C2.8£2,235£2,114
1976-199090 m²13,702 kWh45 °C3.4£1,540£1,261
1919-194490 m²18,877 kWh55 °C2.8£2,089£1,969
1945-196690 m²17,325 kWh50 °C3.0£1,902£1,717
1967-197590 m²15,772 kWh50 °C3.0£1,760£1,581
1991-200290 m²11,632 kWh45 °C3.4£1,284£1,102

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